Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.236778 0.273262 0.313285 0.360419 0.414383 0.474212 0.545553
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.180555 0.228262 0.285281 0.358339 0.449359 0.558920 0.700728
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.140386 0.192956 0.260906 0.354912 0.481334 0.645192 0.873441
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.111728 0.165963 0.241337 0.353254 0.514689 0.738532 1.071858
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.091102 0.145456 0.226246 0.354301 0.551301 0.841849 1.301643
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.076992 0.131450 0.217590 0.362598 0.599271 0.968598 1.586377
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.063913 0.116247 0.204017 0.360356 0.630018 1.073509 1.854499
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.055374 0.106820 0.197918 0.368889 0.679189 1.214717 2.203256
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.046566 0.095042 0.185453 0.363799 0.703514 1.317175 2.501433
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.040737 0.087656 0.179512 0.369317 0.747461 1.460012 2.892744
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.034324 0.077758 0.166891 0.359541 0.760363 1.547000 3.192338
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.031041 0.073746 0.165278 0.371469 0.817878 1.727193 3.698872
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.028229 0.070309 0.164467 0.385425 0.882929 1.934062 4.295177
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.024718 0.064529 0.157502 0.384704 0.916476 2.081247 4.790137
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.021611 0.059066 0.150253 0.382028 0.945238 2.222557 5.294358
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019054 0.054441 0.144129 0.380911 0.977421 2.376204 5.849740
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016992 0.050682 0.139441 0.382481 1.016329 2.550952 6.480433
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.015545 0.048302 0.137854 0.391720 1.075897 2.783238 7.283373
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.013807 0.044702 0.132333 0.389506 1.105613 2.947122 7.942209
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012712 0.042783 0.131095 0.398844 1.167610 3.200922 8.866277
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.011257 0.039409 0.125059 0.393445 1.188306 3.351159 9.542604
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010322 0.037508 0.123025 0.399459 1.242378 3.597928 10.514061
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009050 0.034176 0.115970 0.388951 1.246594 3.709496 11.130437